What will happen in the 2022 midterm elections?
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Democrats have held both houses of Congress and the presidency for the past two years, but they may not have such consolidated power for much longer. Republicans are favored to win the House in the Nov. 8 midterm elections, bolstered by a disappointing economy and benefits in the 10-year redistricting process. But Democrats are working to hold their ground, campaigning on abortion access and other issues. The outlook is bleaker in the Senate, where Republicans are seeking to regain control. Several races in key states are tight, with Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell saying his party has only a 50-50 chance of winning the majority. A look at control of Congress and what happens if Republicans win a majority in either house in the election: What if the House flips? Democrats, led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have held the majority since 2018, when they won control in then-President Donald Trump’s first midterm elections. Republicans can take back the House if they pick up just five seats in dozens of competitive districts, and they’re trying to win dozens. History also gives Republicans reason for optimism. In the modern era, the party that held the White House lost seats in Congress in virtually every midterm election of the first president. If Republicans win the House on Nov. 8, the GOP faction will elect a new speaker and take power on Jan. 3, 2023. They will run each committee and decide which bills will be considered in the House. What would a republican house look like? House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy has already unveiled his “Commitment to America,” a broad outline of economic, border security and other policies the GOP is proposing in the first days of the next Congress. Regaining control of the House of Representatives would be a victory for Trump, who has been fighting efforts by Democrats to impeach him over the Jan. 6, 2021, uprising at the Capitol. The vast majority of Republicans expected to return to Washington next year, along with most of those hoping to win a first term, are loyal to Trump and have followed his lead in their policies and stances. Among those allies are far-right members such as Rep. Marjorie Taylor Green of Georgia, who was removed from committee by Democrats because of her extreme rhetoric but will be part of the GOP’s broad governing majority in the House. Green endorsed McCarthy when he represented Committed to America in Pennsylvania last month. What would a Republican House mean for Biden? Democratic priorities like access to abortion, combating climate change, and tighter gun control will be immediately pushed to the back burner. And most, if not all, of President Joe Biden’s programs would be effectively dead within the last two years of his term. Still, nothing becomes law without Biden’s signature. Bills to finance the government, raise the debt ceiling, and deal with military issues are necessary for the government to function. The bills are likely to be a flashpoint in negotiations between the Republican Party, Democrats and the White House. Biden, who has served in the Senate for decades, has often touted his bipartisan credentials and said he wants to work with Republicans. But there would be little appetite for this in the Republican Congress, which has made opposition to Biden its top priority. What about the Senate? While the Senate could swing either way after the midterms, the majority party is likely to have the least advantage. That means Biden will be able to find a little more common ground there, regardless of who’s in charge. Much of Biden’s legislative accomplishments in office were a byproduct of bipartisan negotiations in the Senate. Still, the Republican-led Senate could pass bills sent by the GOP House, putting political pressure on Biden. And the Republican Party would regain control of the committees and, with it, powers to conduct investigations and oversee the administration. A Republican Senate could also make life difficult for Biden by blocking or delaying the passage of presidential nominees to the judicial and executive branches. What if the Democrats win? If the Democrats take the Senate and the Republicans win the House, the two chambers are unlikely to find common ground. But Republicans could try to sway moderate Democratic members of the Senate on some pieces of legislation. If Democrats were able to retain the House and Senate, they would likely resume negotiations on some items on Biden’s agenda that never passed, including his new package of social and economic programs that stalled amid internal Democratic backlash. disagreed. What does the house map look like? Most House districts are not competitive thanks to the redistricting process, which allows state legislatures to draw their own congressional elections if they choose. Many legislatures draw boundaries to favor one side or the other. Still, dozens of seats are in play, including many held by Democrats who won suburban districts in 2018, giving the party a majority that year.
WASHINGTON —
Democrats have held both houses of Congress and the presidency for the past two years, but they may not have such consolidated power for much longer.
Republicans are favored to win the House in the Nov. 8 midterm elections, bolstered by a disappointing economy and benefits in the 10-year redistricting process. But Democrats are working to hold their ground, campaigning on abortion access and other issues.
The outlook is bleaker in the Senate, where Republicans are seeking to regain control. Several races in key states are tight, with Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell saying his party has only a 50-50 chance of winning the majority.
A look at control of Congress and what will happen if Republicans win a majority in either house in the election:
What if the House flips?
Democrats, led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, have held the majority since 2018, when they won control in then-President Donald Trump’s first midterm elections. Republicans can take back the House if they pick up just five seats in dozens of competitive districts, and they’re trying to win dozens.
History also gives Republicans reason for optimism. In the modern era, the party that held the White House lost seats in Congress in virtually every midterm election of the first president.
If Republicans win the House on Nov. 8, the GOP faction will elect a new speaker and take power on Jan. 3, 2023. They will run each committee and decide which bills will be considered in the House.
What would a republican house look like?
House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy has already unveiled his “Commitment to America,” a broad outline of economic, border security and other policies the GOP is proposing in the first days of the next Congress.
Regaining control of the House of Representatives would be a victory for Trump, who has been fighting efforts by Democrats to impeach him over the Jan. 6, 2021, uprising at the Capitol. The vast majority of Republicans expected to return to Washington next year, along with most of those hoping to win a first term, are loyal to Trump and have followed his lead in their policies and stances.
Among those allies are far-right members such as Rep. Marjorie Taylor Green of Georgia, who was removed from committee by Democrats because of her extreme rhetoric but will be part of the GOP’s broad governing majority in the House. Green endorsed McCarthy when he represented Committed to America in Pennsylvania last month.
What would a Republican House mean for Biden?
Democratic priorities like access to abortion, combating climate change, and tighter gun control will be immediately pushed to the back burner. And most, if not all, of President Joe Biden’s programs would be effectively dead within the last two years of his term.
Still, nothing becomes law without Biden’s signature. Bills to finance the government, raise the debt ceiling, and deal with military issues are necessary for the government to function. The bills are likely to be a flashpoint in negotiations between the Republican Party, Democrats and the White House.
Biden, who has served in the Senate for decades, has often touted his bipartisan credentials and said he wants to work with Republicans. But there would be little appetite for this in the Republican Congress, which has made opposition to Biden its top priority.
What about the Senate?
While the Senate could swing either way after the midterms, the majority party is likely to have the least advantage. That means Biden will be able to find a little more common ground there, regardless of who’s in charge. Much of Biden’s legislative accomplishments in office were a byproduct of bipartisan negotiations in the Senate.
Still, the Republican-led Senate could pass bills sent by the GOP House, putting political pressure on Biden. And the Republican Party would regain control of the committees and, with it, the right to conduct investigations and oversee the administration.
A Republican Senate could also make life difficult for Biden by blocking or delaying the passage of presidential nominees to the judicial and executive branches.
What if the Democrats win?
If the Democrats take the Senate and the Republicans win the House, the two chambers are unlikely to find common ground. But Republicans could try to sway moderate Democratic members of the Senate on some pieces of legislation.
If Democrats were able to retain the House and Senate, they would likely resume negotiations on some items on Biden’s agenda that never passed, including his new package of social and economic programs that stalled amid internal Democratic backlash. disagreed.
What does the house map look like?
Most House districts are not competitive thanks to the redistricting process, which allows state legislatures to draw their own congressional elections if they choose. Many legislatures draw boundaries to favor one side or the other.
Still, dozens of seats are in play, including many held by Democrats who won suburban districts in 2018, giving the party a majority that year.
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